Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.081276 1.262245 1.463810 1.704931 1.985546 2.301866 2.685601
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.779957 1.016855 1.310622 1.701608 2.208505 2.843829 3.701454
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.625302 0.881764 1.224959 1.717649 2.407172 3.338748 4.695049
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.500349 0.752129 1.110604 1.657939 2.473092 3.643633 5.455818
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.454589 0.722042 1.123715 1.770436 2.786572 4.324260 6.834006
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.382052 0.637594 1.040209 1.720066 2.840786 4.618304 7.660138
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.323082 0.564110 0.960839 1.660543 2.865637 4.860661 8.425391
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.276915 0.504178 0.893716 1.608980 2.891852 5.101502 9.210664
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.251590 0.476313 0.876322 1.638923 3.059361 5.597948 10.497769
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.240846 0.473011 0.901181 1.746769 3.378624 6.397783 12.432138
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.224061 0.455680 0.897492 1.799786 3.600771 7.044277 14.158860
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.205785 0.432697 0.879690 1.822265 3.765136 7.598312 15.772479
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.185391 0.403183 0.846402 1.811769 3.867356 8.053493 17.270183
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.167504 0.376511 0.815617 1.802817 3.972808 8.531016 18.885457
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.154088 0.357521 0.798197 1.819550 4.134228 9.143167 20.867977
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.135935 0.325266 0.747753 1.756303 4.110665 9.354535 21.991452
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.133231 0.328293 0.776053 1.875439 4.515259 10.558567 25.530804
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.118985 0.301771 0.733175 1.822097 4.510228 10.832240 26.926515
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.105837 0.276062 0.688820 1.759060 4.473152 11.025527 28.152534
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.094703 0.253853 0.650024 1.704453 4.449316 11.246671 29.475653
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.089329 0.245840 0.645442 1.736164 4.648076 12.038166 32.353147
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.088393 0.249535 0.671159 1.850376 5.076218 13.459207 37.060654
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.084669 0.245075 0.674990 1.906522 5.357078 14.534906 40.987134